Sektor-sektor yang kemungkinan besar akan tetap berada di bawah tekanan
Sektor-sektor yang kemungkinan besar akan tetap berada di bawah tekanan – Mengenai prospek peringkat, Dimitrijevic mengatakan: “Jika situasi menjadi normal lebih awal … itu memungkinkan kami untuk menstabilkan beberapa pandangan (negatif) ini lebih awal, dan memungkinkan beberapa kredit di ujung bawah spektrum untuk menghindari kemerosotan lebih lanjut di kualitas kredit, “katanya, mengacu pada pemotongan peringkat.
“Tapi kami akan mengambil keputusan tentang perusahaan dengan pendekatan perusahaan dan beberapa industri dan geografi mungkin masih mengalami tekanan kredit yang signifikan sampai situasi sepenuhnya normal, yang bisa berlangsung hingga 2022 atau nanti untuk beberapa.”
Sektor-sektor yang kemungkinan besar akan tetap berada di bawah tekanan paling besar termasuk properti komersial dan transportasi umum massal karena orang tetap bekerja dari rumah dikutip nytimes.com. Maskapai penerbangan yang mengandalkan perjalanan bisnis dan beberapa bagian dari sektor rekreasi cenderung kesulitan juga.
Tantangan tersebut, seperti produksi massal dan distribusi, berarti terlalu dini untuk membuat peringkat atau prakiraan ekonomi berubah.
Perkiraan terbaru S&P pada bulan September memperkirakan vaksin akan tersedia secara luas pada pertengahan 2021 dan mendorong kenaikan 5,3% dalam pertumbuhan global tahun depan. Namun, sejak itu, penyebaran virus yang cepat telah memaksa lebih banyak negara kembali ke lockdown.
“Jika kita semua divaksinasi pada musim semi, itu pasti bagus untuk pertumbuhan dan untuk perusahaan, tetapi masih banyak tantangan untuk mencapainya.” Kata Dimitrijevic. “Lebih cepat (vaksin tersedia secara luas), lebih baik”.
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